NFL Spread Picks - Week 10, 2017
Pick 1: Arizona +6.5 
Pick 2: Jacksonville -3.5
Pick 3: Detroit -11.5
Pick 4: Cincinnati +4.5
Pick 5: LA Rams -12
The trash TD and 2-point conversion by overpaid Jay Cutler continued our winning streak. I wish I had waited longer for this and gotten the extra half point and it would've been a win vs a push. This week we have a some big favorites, a home dog and an easy money win from Jacksonville. Although I don't like super heavy favorites, I also like betting against really crappy teams hence bet against Cleveland and Houston.
This NFL week 10 we continue with 18% of bankroll which gives us roughly a $400 bet per game. Let us know what your picks are and if you agree/disagree with these picks.
How to read the table:
Pick 2: Jacksonville -3.5
Pick 3: Detroit -11.5
Pick 4: Cincinnati +4.5
Pick 5: LA Rams -12
The trash TD and 2-point conversion by overpaid Jay Cutler continued our winning streak. I wish I had waited longer for this and gotten the extra half point and it would've been a win vs a push. This week we have a some big favorites, a home dog and an easy money win from Jacksonville. Although I don't like super heavy favorites, I also like betting against really crappy teams hence bet against Cleveland and Houston.
This NFL week 10 we continue with 18% of bankroll which gives us roughly a $400 bet per game. Let us know what your picks are and if you agree/disagree with these picks.
| Game | Vegas Line | Estimate | Prediction-Vegas | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEATTLE @ ARIZONA | 6.5 | 3.00 | -3.50 | 60.9 |
| LA CHARGERS @ JACKSONVILLE | -3.5 | -16.50 | -13.00 | 60.6 |
| CLEVELAND @ DETROIT | -11.5 | -16.50 | -5.00 | 59.0 |
| CINCINNATI @ TENNESSEE | -4.5 | -1.90 | 2.56 | 58.6 |
| HOUSTON @ LA RAMS | -12.0 | -22.50 | -10.50 | 57.3 |
| NY JETS @ TAMPA BAY | 2.5 | -1.00 | -3.50 | 56.4 |
| NEW ORLEANS @ BUFFALO | 2.5 | 3.90 | 1.43 | 54.5 |
| MINNESOTA @ WASHINGTON | 1.5 | -1.80 | -3.33 | 53.3 |
| PITTSBURGH @ INDIANAPOLIS | 10.0 | 20.00 | 10.00 | 53.4 | NEW ENGLAND @ DENVER | 7.5 | 7.80 | 0.30 | 50.3 |
| DALLAS @ ATLANTA | -3.0 | -2.50 | 0.50 | 50.3 |
| MIAMI @ CAROLINA | -9.0 | -16.20 | -7.22 | 49.8 |
| NY GIANTS @ SAN FRANCISCO | 1.0 | 3.20 | 2.17 | 48.0 |
| GREEN BAY @ CHICAGO | -5.0 | -6.40 | -1.35 | NA |
How to read the table:
- Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the point spread favors the HOME team
- Estimate: NFL Pickles' point spread prediction
- Pred-Vegas: Subtraction: POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover point spread.
- Confidence: The probability that the point spread pick is on the correct side.
Comments