2016 NFL Point Spread Picks - Week 7
Pick 1: Cincinnati -9.5 
Pick 2: Oakland +1
Pick 3: Kansas City -6.5
Pick 4: Indianapolis +3
Ok that was a better 2nd week of betting and we did get a bit lucky on the Rams pick. This week AJ Green will get 3 TDs and help my first pick (and fantasy football team). The Raiders bring back Murray and the Jaguars' streak will end with a team that finally wants to win. The Chiefs defense will come out and quiet Brees and win by more than a touchdown. Finally, Luck and Hilton are starting to sync and should score more against Tennessee.
Increasing a bit to 17% of bankroll, each game gets a $435 bet. Enjoy your bets!
How to read the table:
Pick 2: Oakland +1
Pick 3: Kansas City -6.5
Pick 4: Indianapolis +3
Ok that was a better 2nd week of betting and we did get a bit lucky on the Rams pick. This week AJ Green will get 3 TDs and help my first pick (and fantasy football team). The Raiders bring back Murray and the Jaguars' streak will end with a team that finally wants to win. The Chiefs defense will come out and quiet Brees and win by more than a touchdown. Finally, Luck and Hilton are starting to sync and should score more against Tennessee.
Increasing a bit to 17% of bankroll, each game gets a $435 bet. Enjoy your bets!
| Game | Vegas Line | Estimate | Prediction-Vegas | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLEVELAND @ CINCINNATI | -9.5 | -15.8 | -6.3 | 66.3% |
| OAKLAND @ JACKSONVILLE | -1 | 1.6 | 2.6 | 65.7% |
| NEW ORLEANS @ KANSAS CITY | -6.5 | -10.6 | -4.1 | 58.5% |
| INDIANAPOLIS @ TENNESSEE | -3 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 58.1% |
| CHICAGO @ GREEN BAY | -8 | -12.6 | -4.6 | 56.5% |
| HOUSTON @ DENVER | -7.5 | -6.4 | 1.1 | 54.8% |
| MINNESOTA @ PHILADELPHIA | 2.5 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 53.2% |
| SAN DIEGO @ ATLANTA | -6.5 | -5.9 | 0.6 | 50.0% |
| TAMPA BAY @ SAN FRANCISCO | 2 | 2.1 | 0.1 | 50.0% |
| NEW ENGLAND @ PITTSBURGH | 7 | 6.1 | -0.9 | 50.0% |
| BUFFALO @ MIAMI | 3 | 9.3 | 6.3 | 49.7% |
| WASHINGTON @ DETROIT | -1 | -0.7 | 0.3 | 47.3% |
| SEATTLE @ ARIZONA | -1.5 | -9.9 | -8.4 | 46.6% |
| BALTIMORE @ NY JETS | -1 | -7.6 | -6.6 | 45.0% |
| NY GIANTS - LA RAMS | 3 | -5.6 | -8.6 | NA |
How to read the table:
- Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the point spread favors the HOME team
- Estimate: NFL Pickles' point spread prediction
- Pred-Vegas: Subtraction: POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover point spread.
- Confidence: The probability that the point spread pick is on the correct side.
Comments
Fiftytwopointfour's top 5 picks went 3-1-1 last week. This week, our most confident picks are:
Ravens (+1)
49ers (+2.5)
Titans (-2.5)
Rams (+2.5)
Good luck, everyone!