2015 NFL Point Spread Picks - Week 13
Pick 1: Carolina-7 
Pick 2: Chicago -7
Pick 3: Houston +3
Pick 4: Baltimore +4
How low can you go? I can't believe Arizona and Buffalo didn't cover. As soon as the Giants game started I was skeptical. Everything is easy in retrospect. My confidence is on the floor right now. All of you new visitors, you are better off betting the opposite of what I say. I'm really hoping for a good streak here, even if it's just two winning weeks, that's not too much to ask is it? Ok c'mon, if the Bears and Texans can turn it around so could I :)
We will continue betting 20% of bankroll split evenly across the 4 picks to give us a bet of $400 per game. Buyer beware, these NFL point spread picks aren't getting any better as the season progresses.
How to read the table:
Pick 2: Chicago -7
Pick 3: Houston +3
Pick 4: Baltimore +4
How low can you go? I can't believe Arizona and Buffalo didn't cover. As soon as the Giants game started I was skeptical. Everything is easy in retrospect. My confidence is on the floor right now. All of you new visitors, you are better off betting the opposite of what I say. I'm really hoping for a good streak here, even if it's just two winning weeks, that's not too much to ask is it? Ok c'mon, if the Bears and Texans can turn it around so could I :)
We will continue betting 20% of bankroll split evenly across the 4 picks to give us a bet of $400 per game. Buyer beware, these NFL point spread picks aren't getting any better as the season progresses.
| Game | Vegas Line | Estimate | Prediction-Vegas | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAROLINA @ NEW ORLEANS | 7 | 13.5 | 6.5 | 59.7% |
| SAN FRANCISCO @ CHICAGO | -7 | -15.0 | -8.0 | 59.0% |
| HOUSTON @ BUFFALO | -3 | 3.1 | 6.1 | 58.0% |
| BALTIMORE @ MIAMI | -4 | 4.8 | 8.8 | 57.4% |
| ARIZONA @ ST LOUIS | 6 | 1.8 | -4.2 | 53.1% |
| ATLANTA @ TAMPA BAY | -2 | 1.1 | 2.9 | 52.5% |
| CINCINNATI @ CLEVELAND | 10 | 15.4 | 5.4 | 51.7% |
| DENVER @ SAN DIEGO | 4.5 | 8.3 | 3.8 | 51.2% |
| KANSAS CITY @ OAKLAND | 3 | 1.7 | -1.3 | 50.0% |
| INDIANAPOLIS @ PITTSBURGH | -6.5 | -0.1 | 6.4 | 50.0% |
| GREEN BAY @ DETROIT | 3 | 2.8 | -0.2 | 50.0% |
| PHILADELPHIA @ NEW ENGLAND | -9.5 | -11.8 | -2.3 | 50.0% |
| JACKSONVILLE @ TENNESSEE | -2.5 | -0.8 | 1.7 | 50.4% |
| DALLAS @ WASHINGTON | -4.5 | -8.1 | -3.6 | 49.0% |
| SEATTLE @ MINNESOTA | 0 | -8.9 | -8.9 | 49.0% |
| NY JETS @ NY GIANTS | 2 | 2.0 | 0.0 | NA |
How to read the table:
- Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the point spread favors the HOME team
- Estimate: NFL Pickles' point spread prediction
- Pred-Vegas: Subtraction: POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover point spread.
- Confidence: The probability that the point spread pick is on the correct side.
Comments
Here are fiftytwopointfour's top picks for the week, after going 2-1 last week:
> BEARS (-7)
> Panthers (-7)
> PATRIOTS/Eagles (UNDER 49)
Paul Lechiara: great week 12! Do you use statistical analysis or your gut to make your picks?
HOU (+3.5)
BAL (+3.5)
CLE (+9.5)
Proost!
CIN -8
BAL +4
ARI -4.5
Good Luck to all
CAR -7
KC -3
NEP -9
good luck to all