2015 NFL Point Spread Picks - Week 11
Pick 1: St Louis +3 PUSH
Pick 2: New England -7 PUSH
Pick 3: San Francisco +12.5
This week we'll bet 20% of bankroll split evenly across the 3 picks to give us a bet of $500 per game.
How to read the table:
Pick 2: New England -7 PUSH
Pick 3: San Francisco +12.5
This week we'll bet 20% of bankroll split evenly across the 3 picks to give us a bet of $500 per game.
| Game | Vegas Line | Estimate | Prediction-Vegas | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ST LOUIS @ BALTIMORE | -3 | 4.3 | 7.3 | 62.4% |
| BUFFALO @ NEW ENGLAND | -7 | -10.4 | -3.4 | 59.0 % |
| SAN FRANCISCO @ SEATTLE | -12.5 | -8.0 | 4.5 | 58.0% |
| TAMPA BAY @ PHILADELPHIA | -5.5 | 0.3 | 5.8 | 56.7% |
| TENNESSEE @ JACKSONVILLE | -3 | -2.2 | 0.8 | 56.4% |
| DALLAS @ MIAMI | 0 | 6.4 | 6.4 | 52.7% |
| KANSAS CITY @ SAN DIEGO | 3 | 5.8 | 2.8 | 50.8% |
| OAKLAND @ DETROIT | 2.5 | 0.3 | -2.2 | 50.0% |
| GREEN BAY @ MINNESOTA | 0 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 50.0% |
| INDIANAPOLIS @ ATLANTA | -6 | 1.1 | 7.1 | 50.0% |
| CINCINNATI @ ARIZONA | -4 | -2.3 | 1.7 | 50.0% |
| WASHINGTON @ CAROLINA | -7 | -10.3 | -3.3 | 50.0% |
| NY JETS @ HOUSTON | 2.5 | -1.1 | -3.6 | 49.4% |
| DENVER @ CHICAGO | -1 | 6.5 | 7.5 | NA |
How to read the table:
- Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the point spread favors the HOME team
- Estimate: NFL Pickles' point spread prediction
- Pred-Vegas: Subtraction: POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover point spread.
- Confidence: The probability that the point spread pick is on the correct side.
Comments
STL (+5.2)
NE (-12.5)
SF (+9.2)
So my numbers like the NE and SF picks.
Broncos (+1.5)
Jets (-2.5)
SEAHAWKS (-12.5)
DET (+1.5)
CAR (-7.0)
CIN (+5.0)
SF (+13.0)
NE (-7.0)
SF@SEA (Under 40.5)
Some of the lines are going to move the wrong way quickly so we're acting early this week.
Proost!