2014 NFL Betting Picks - Week 4
Pick 1: Buffalo +3 
Pick 2: Carolina +3.5
Pick 3: San Diego -13.5
We were close of pulling a 3-1 but the Eagles cost us great at the end. Carolina was dissapointing, but since this blog is based on data-driven or some call it computerized picks, they are showing again this week and I'm sticking by them. Sorry for the late post, I had a little trouble updating the data yesterday. Some of you have caught on, but to know what's going on with picks you can check out my Twitter account.
This will be the last week with 12% of bankroll split evenly across games giving us a bet of $415 per game. Here is the full list of NFL betting spread predictions:
How to read the table:
Pick 2: Carolina +3.5
Pick 3: San Diego -13.5
We were close of pulling a 3-1 but the Eagles cost us great at the end. Carolina was dissapointing, but since this blog is based on data-driven or some call it computerized picks, they are showing again this week and I'm sticking by them. Sorry for the late post, I had a little trouble updating the data yesterday. Some of you have caught on, but to know what's going on with picks you can check out my Twitter account.
This will be the last week with 12% of bankroll split evenly across games giving us a bet of $415 per game. Here is the full list of NFL betting spread predictions:
| Game | Vegas Line | Estimate | Prediction-Vegas | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUFFALO @ HOUSTON | -3 | 0.9 | 3.9 | 62.1% |
| CAROLINA @ BALTIMORE | -3.5 | 5.1 | 8.6 | 58.3% |
| JACKSONVILLE @ SAN DIEGO | -13.5 | -21.8 | -8.3 | 57.0% |
| TENNESSEE @ INDIANAPOLIS | -7.5 | -9.8 | -2.3 | 56.4% |
| PHILADELPHIA @ SAN FRANCISCO | -5 | -11.1 | -6.1 | 56.0% |
| NY GIANTS @ WASHINGTON | -3.5 | -1.7 | 1.8 | 53.6% |
| ATLANTA @ MINNESOTA | 3 | -0.1 | -3.1 | 52.7% |
| TAMPA BAY @ PITTSBURGH | -7.5 | -2.5 | 5.0 | 50.0% |
| NEW ORLEANS @ DALLAS | 3 | 0.4 | -2.6 | 50.0% |
| MIAMI @ OAKLAND | 4 | 1.2 | -2.8 | 50.0% |
| OAKLAND @ MIAMI | -4 | -7.5 | -3.5 | 50.0% |
| DETROIT @ NY JETS | 2 | -0.6 | -2.6 | 49.5% |
| GREEN BAY @ CHICAGO | 1.5 | -2.2 | -3.7 | 49.5% |
| NEW ENGLAND @ KANSAS CITY | 3.5 | -6.7 | -10.2 | 48.3% |
How to read the table:
- Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the point spread favors the HOME team
- Estimate: NFL Pickles' point spread prediction
- Pred-Vegas: Subtraction: POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover point spread.
- Confidence: The probability that the point spread pick is on the correct side.
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