NFL Point Spread Picks Week 3 - 2013

Pick 1: San Diego +3 PUSH
Pick 2: Denver -16 PUSH
Pick 3: Green Bay -3
Pick 4: Detroit +1.5

Selected picks last week went 3-1-1. We now have two weeks of data for the year and will continue to wait until week 5 to start official picks and betting strategy. I again downloaded the new weekly data as usual and ran the computerized NFL predictions against the spread for week 3 and this is what I got.

Game	Vegas Line	Estimate	Prediction-Vegas	Confidence
SAN DIEGO @ TENNESSEE	-3	2.6	5.6	60.9%
OAKLAND @ DENVER	-16	-20.3	-4.3	59.5%
GREEN BAY @ CINCINNATI	3	7.5	4.5	58.9%
DETROIT @ WASHINGTON	-1.5	3	4.5	58.1%
KANSAS CITY @ PHILADELPHIA	-3.5	-8.3	-4.8	54.7%
ARIZONA @ NEW ORLEANS	-8	-5.6	2.4	54.6%
INDIANAPOLIS @ SAN FRANCISCO	-10.5	-16.6	-6.1	53.3%
HOUSTON @ BALTIMORE	2.5	-4.8	-7.3	52.0%
CLEVELAND @ MINNESOTA	-6	-12.1	-6.1	51.1%
ATLANTA @ MIAMI	-1.5	-1.8	-0.3	50.0%
NY GIANTS @ CAROLINA	0	-3	-3	50.0%
ST LOUIS @ DALLAS	-4.5	-7	-2.5	50.0%
JACKSONVILLE @ SEATTLE	-20	-20.9	-0.9	50.0%
TAMPA BAY @ NEW ENGLAND	-7	-9.9	-2.9	49.0%
CHICAGO @ PITTSBURGH	2.5	5.3	2.8	48.6%
BUFFALO @ NY JETS	-2.5	6.3	8.8	48.5%

How to read the table:

• Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the spread favors the HOME team
• Estimate: NFL pickles spread estimate
• Pred-Vegas: Subtraction of the previous two. POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover spread.
• Confidence: The probability that the spread pick is on the correct side.