2012 NFL Divisional Playoffs Point Spread Picks
Pick 1: Seattle +2.5 
Pick 2: Denver -9
Pick 3: New England -9.5
Pick 4: San Francisco -3
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(UPDATE: Guarantee no longer valid)
We started the playoffs with a 1-2 record, no good. I found out a bit too late that the Minnesota QB wasn't playing, otherwise that would have been a no pick. Regardless, we still have Divisional, Conference and the Super Bowl picks to make the playoffs a winning streak as we've done for the past 5 years (4 years of winning playoff picks and one year was 50%). This week all 4 NFL Divisional playoff games are over the 58% confidence threshold. Click here if you want access to the rest of the computerized picks, or see our previous post where we explain our guarantee and who we are.
How to read the table:
Pick 2: Denver -9
Pick 3: New England -9.5
Pick 4: San Francisco -3
We started the playoffs with a 1-2 record, no good. I found out a bit too late that the Minnesota QB wasn't playing, otherwise that would have been a no pick. Regardless, we still have Divisional, Conference and the Super Bowl picks to make the playoffs a winning streak as we've done for the past 5 years (4 years of winning playoff picks and one year was 50%). This week all 4 NFL Divisional playoff games are over the 58% confidence threshold. Click here if you want access to the rest of the computerized picks, or see our previous post where we explain our guarantee and who we are.
| Game | Vegas Line | Estimate | Prediction-Vegas | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEATTLE @ ATLANTA | -2.5 | 2.8 | 5.3 | 64.7% |
| BALTIMORE @ DENVER | -9 | -12 | -3 | 59.0% |
| HOUSTON @ NEW ENGLAND | -9.5 | -11.6 | -2.1 | 58.4% |
| GREEN BAY @ SAN FRANCISCO | -3 | -7.0 | -4.0 | 58.0% |
How to read the table:
- Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the spread favors the HOME team
- Estimate: NFL pickles spread estimate
- Pred-Vegas: Subtraction of the previous two. POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover spread.
- Confidence: The probability that the spread pick is on the correct side.
Comments
Everyone who signed up before should continue to receive pick. Everyone else interested in Conference and Super Bowl pick can still sign up but there are no guarantees from here on out.
If you know someone who wants 5-figure action on the '49ers, please let me know!
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