Week 17 2012 NFL Non-Official Point Spread Picks
No official picks this week as most week 17s in the past years. Although I have no statistical proof, I hypothesize that teams on playoffs or already out, tend to behave differently in this week. It is not worth the risk when using computer NFL picks. We better save our energies and complete our successful season with playoffs picks.
I know many of you will still go ahead and use my picks, so I'll post them here anyways. It's going to be a very interesting week 17 especially for NFC games. Go Bears! Good luck and until the playoffs.
How to read the table:
I know many of you will still go ahead and use my picks, so I'll post them here anyways. It's going to be a very interesting week 17 especially for NFC games. Go Bears! Good luck and until the playoffs.
| Game | Vegas Line | Estimate | Prediction-Vegas | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAMPA BAY @ ATLANTA | -4 | -9.2 | -5.2 | 62.3% |
| NY JETS @ BUFFALO | -3.5 | 1.5 | 5.0 | 60.4% |
| CAROLINA @ NEW ORLEANS | -5 | -3.0 | 2.0 | 58.9% |
| JACKSONVILLE @ TENNESSEE | -4 | -3.5 | 0.5 | 55.0% |
| DALLAS @ WASHINGTON | -3 | -4.3 | -1.3 | 52.6% |
| OAKLAND @ SAN DIEGO | -7 | -13.7 | -6.7 | 52.1% |
| CLEVELAND @ PITTSBURGH | -6 | -8.8 | -2.8 | 51.9% |
| PHILADELPHIA @ NY GIANTS | -7 | -9.0 | -2.0 | 51.9% |
| CHICAGO @ DETROIT | 3 | 5.3 | 2.3 | 50.7% |
| BALTIMORE @ CINCINNATI | -2.5 | -1.3 | 1.2 | 50.6% |
| ST LOUIS @ SEATTLE | -11 | -9.4 | 1.6 | 50.0% |
| ARIZONA @ SAN FRANCISCO | -16.5 | -15.3 | 1.2 | 50.0% |
| GREEN BAY @ MINNESOTA | 3 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 50.0% |
| MIAMI @ NEW ENGLAND | -10 | -9.8 | 0.2 | 50.0% |
| KANSAS CITY @ DENVER | -16 | -24.5 | -8.5 | 49.5% |
| HOUSTON @ INDIANAPOLIS | 7 | 5.6 | -1.4 | 49.0% |
How to read the table:
- Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the spread favors the HOME team
- Estimate: NFL pickles spread estimate
- Pred-Vegas: Subtraction of the previous two. POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover spread.
- Confidence: The probability that the spread pick is on the correct side.
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