Week 7 2012 NFL Point Spread Picks
Pick 1: Chicago -5.5 
Pick 2: Washington +6.5
Pick 3: New Orleans -3
3 picks this week: my beloved Bears, repeating Washington this week, and the struggling Saints. I also like the point difference in the predictor for Green Bay but the percentage wasn't there. We're again going with 15% of bankroll for 3 games giving us $245 per game.
How to read the table:
Pick 2: Washington +6.5
Pick 3: New Orleans -3
3 picks this week: my beloved Bears, repeating Washington this week, and the struggling Saints. I also like the point difference in the predictor for Green Bay but the percentage wasn't there. We're again going with 15% of bankroll for 3 games giving us $245 per game.
| Game | Vegas Line | Estimate | Prediction-Vegas | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DETROIT @ CHICAGO | -5.5 | -8.0 | -2.5 | 62.5% |
| WASHINGTON @ NY GIANTS | -6.5 | -3.5 | 3.0 | 59.3% |
| NEW ORLEANS @ TAMPA BAY | 3 | 7.2 | 4.2 | 58.5% |
| SEATTLE @ SAN FRANCISCO | -7.5 | -5.6 | 1.9 | 55.8% |
| BALTIMORE @ HOUSTON | -6.5 | -3.5 | 3.0 | 55.8% |
| ARIZONA @ MINNESOTA | -6 | 1.9 | 7.9 | 52.9% |
| PITTSBURGH @ CINCINNATI | 2.5 | -4.6 | -7.1 | 52.5% |
| TENNESSEE @ BUFFALO | -3 | -5.0 | -2.0 | 52.1% |
| GREEN BAY @ ST LOUIS | 5.5 | 13.6 | 8.1 | 51.0% |
| CLEVELAND @ INDIANAPOLIS | -3 | 3.7 | 6.7 | 50.9% |
| NY JETS @ NEW ENGLAND | -10.5 | -9.2 | 1.3 | 50.1% |
| JACKSONVILLE @ OAKLAND | -4 | -7.9 | -3.9 | 49.3% |
| DALLAS @ CAROLINA | 2 | 1 | -1 | 49.0% |
How to read the table:
- Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the spread favors the HOME team
- Estimate: NFL pickles spread estimate
- Pred-Vegas: Subtraction of the previous two. POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover spread.
- Confidence: The probability that the spread pick is on the correct side.
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