2011 NFL Point Spread Picks Week 11

Pick 1: NY Giants -4.5
Pick 2: Buffalo +2
Pick 3: Seattle +2

Although all picks last week went for a whopping 66.7%, the confidence picks still struggled at 50%. Last week was the first week of the second half and this is where the picks should really start going strong. That 66% is a small sign of improvement, but the confidence picks will need to pick up the slack.

This week we'll stay at 18% of bankroll (and stay there for the next week). Giving us $155 per game for a total of $465.

Here are the NFLpickles free point spread picks for Week 11 of the 2011 NFL season.

Game	Vegas Line	Estimate	Prediction-Vegas	Confidence
PHILADELPHIA @ NY GIANTS	-4.5	-7	-2.5	62.5%
BUFFALO @ MIAMI	-2	8.1	10.1	58.5%
SEATTLE @ ST LOUIS	-2	5.7	7.7	58.2%
NY JETS @ DENVER	6	9	3	56.9%
CINCINNATI @ BALTIMORE	-7	-10	-3	56.8%
TENNESSEE @ ATLANTA	-6	-3.2	2.8	55.6%
DALLAS @ WASHINGTON	7.5	12.4	4.9	52.1%
TAMPA BAY @ GREEN BAY	-14	-22	-8	52.0%
ARIZONA @ SAN FRANCISCO	-9.5	-12.3	-2.8	51.0%
KANSAS CITY @ NEW ENGLAND	-15	-22	-7	50.8%
OAKLAND @ MINNESOTA	1	5.4	4.4	50.7%
SAN DIEGO @ CHICAGO	-3.5	-1	2.5	50.6%
CAROLINA @ DETROIT	-7	-8.1	-1.1	50.0%
JACKSONVILLE @ CLEVELAND	1	-3	-4	49.0%

How to read the table:

• Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the spread favors the HOME team
• Estimate: NFL pickles spread estimate
• Pred-Vegas: Subtraction of the previous two. POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover spread.
• Confidence: The probability that the spread pick is on the correct side.