2010 NFL Point Spread Picks Week 7
Pick 1: Pittsburgh -3 
Pick 2: San Francisco -3
Pick 3: New York Giants +3
Last week over time games killed me. Although one ended up in a push, Green Bay couldn't hold on. Our homedog proved to be successful. Unfortunately, this week there are only two home dogs: Carolina and Miami one of which I'm picking the visiting team. Two other visiting teams include this week's NFL point spread. We need to get the ball rolling here, pronto. As in last week, we'll put $121 per game.
These three picks I have found so far are not crowd pleasers. On some places, the spread has shifted in the other direction and in others they're offering even or 105. We really need a winning week and bounce back to green. Good luck everyone!
Other noticeable picks are: Philadelphia and New England. Once again, here are the NFLpickles free point spread estimates for Week 7 of 2010.
How to read the table:
Pick 2: San Francisco -3
Pick 3: New York Giants +3
Last week over time games killed me. Although one ended up in a push, Green Bay couldn't hold on. Our homedog proved to be successful. Unfortunately, this week there are only two home dogs: Carolina and Miami one of which I'm picking the visiting team. Two other visiting teams include this week's NFL point spread. We need to get the ball rolling here, pronto. As in last week, we'll put $121 per game.
These three picks I have found so far are not crowd pleasers. On some places, the spread has shifted in the other direction and in others they're offering even or 105. We really need a winning week and bounce back to green. Good luck everyone!
Other noticeable picks are: Philadelphia and New England. Once again, here are the NFLpickles free point spread estimates for Week 7 of 2010.
| Game | Vegas Line | Estimate | Prediction-Vegas | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PITTSBURGH @ MIAMI | 3 | 16.4 | 13.4 | 59.9% |
| SAN FRANCISCO @ CAROLINA | 3 | 7.3 | 4.3 | 58.5% |
| NY GIANTS @ DALLAS | -3 | 12.9 | 15.9 | 57.3% |
| PHILADELPHIA @ TENNESSEE | -3 | 0.8 | 3.2 | 55.8% |
| NEW ENGLAND @ SAN DIEGO | -3 | 1.7 | 4.7 | 55.1% |
| CLEVELAND @ NEW ORLEANS | -13 | -8.0 | 5.0 | 54.0% |
| MINNESOTA @ GREEN BAY | -2.5 | -4.8 | -2.3 | 52.9% |
| WASHINGTON @ CHICAGO | -3 | -1.7 | 1.3 | 50.8% |
| ARIZONA @ SEATTLE | -5.5 | -16.6 | -11.1 | 50.4% |
| JACKSONVILLE @ KANSAS CITY | -4.5 | -3 | 1 | 50.2% |
| OAKLAND @ DENVER | -7 | 3.3 | 10.3 | 50.1% |
| ST LOUIS @ TAMPA BAY | -3 | 6.9 | 9.9 | 48.0% |
| BUFFALO @ BALTIMORE | -13 | -15.4 | -2.4 | 47.0% |
| CINCINNATI @ ATLANTA | -3.5 | -5.2 | -1.7 | 46.8% |
How to read the table:
- Vegas Line: A NEGATIVE number implies the spread favors the HOME team
- Estimate: NFL pickles spread estimate
- Pred-Vegas: Subtraction of the previous two. POSITIVE implies VISITING team will cover spread.
- Confidence: The probability that the spread pick is on the correct side.
Comments
406 Falcons -3.5
429 Giants +3.5 [Mon]
418 Panthers +3
418 49ers/Panthers UNDER 35
423 Pats +3
2-2-0 last week (which, if anybody is counting, puts me at 12-10-1 on the season) managing to both live and die by the hook in the same week.
Good luck this week and beyond!
Your numbers point to Dallas being favored by 12.9 Is this an error on your transfer of numbers or did you pick New York by mistake?
This week my model is picking:
Bengals +3.5
Broncos -8
I may have another pick, but I'm waiting on an injury report to clear up.
2-2 the overall results are looking up 8-4-2 ATS. Jaime this week my sheet completely agrees with PIT, NYG but my play is on CAR. Nice work Probable. My selections this week, nearly the same as dtBy , hum…….I wonder if…….?
CAR +2
NE +3
NYG +3
SEA –5.5
Looks like it might be another messed up week in the NFL this week. My picks vs yours are:
PIT -3
SF -3
NYG +3
Good luck.
Question: Why do you subtract the vegas line from the prediction instead of averaging them? For example, suppose both vegas and your prediction are 3 points, confirming one another. The average is 3, but if you subtract them you get 0....
Thanks! -Jamie
I'm sure you'll put together a nice mid-season run here in the next few weeks. It's still early and results are still crazy!
DtBy, I know your half a day ahead but let me post my plays first this week. Two weeks ago I had two of your three sides, and three of four last week. Duct tape, a fundamental part of any system. Arrgh! and perl those must be Johnny Depp movie reference’s.